A few logics about whether VINE will be replaced with "Imagine"
Written by: Haotian
Regarding whether $VINE will be replaced with "Imagine", let's talk about a few logics:
1) $VINE has always been a MEME, which carries the market's expectation that the originally shut down Vine short video platform can be successfully restarted, so as long as one of @elonmusk and @rus does not explicitly abandon Vine's restart plan, VINE will continue to exist;
2) Grok Imagine has been frequently pushed and mentioned by Elon recently, which does not mean that Imagine will replace VINE, even if Elon said that Grok Imagine is AI Vine, because Imagine is a product branch function, just like Grok is an AI module of X, Imagine is just an image-to-video functional module of Grok, and Elon promoted Grok Imagine in a high-profile manner just to highlight it Grok's AI enhancement capabilities do not mean that Vine should be renamed with Imagine, at least Lao Ma has not "clearly" expressed his position;
3) "Bring back Vine" is not only a slogan, but also contains complex culture, emotions, brands, IP and other complex factors behind it, which means that Vine is a cultural symbol with special significance, carrying the Internet memory of a generation, and this emotional value is difficult to replace. In this context, it seems that the ultimate goal of Elon's reboot of Vine in the form of AI is to restart Vine, and Grok imagine is just a demonstration of core product capabilities before achieving this ultimate goal. In other words, if there is no idea of restarting Vine, there is no need to mention Vine, and the goal of using AI is also a restart;
4) The reason why I have always emphasized that Grok Imagine is AI Vine is just to express that Vine will "accelerate" its return in the form of AI empowerment. Don't forget, the core of the Vine short video platform is 6s video, if imagine can directly convert images into 6s short videos with real-time rendering capabilities as Elon said, this will definitely be the core selling point of Vine after the restart, there is a high probability that Imagine as a creative tool and Vine as a social distribution platform can coexist, which can also be evidenced by Rus's "both" reply;
5) The market's expectations for $VINE have always come from whether Vine will actually be restarted, whether Rus can hold an important position on X, especially if Vine's logo is integrated and displayed on X's content interface, and even whether VINE will circulate on Vine as a reward currency. However, it is important to note that as of now, MEME can only carry a kind of cultural and emotional belonging, and unless X, as a business entity, clearly states that it will empower the restarted Vine and its corresponding token $VINE correspondingly, there are speculative risks in the market's expected valuation and price growth, as well as sentiment expectations.
Note: The MEME market is relatively volatile, please pay attention to the risks when investing and trading, the above analysis is for reference only.